Oxygen Therapy for Children With Moderate Hypoxemia in Malawi

Pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of under 5-year-old deaths globally and responsible for >50% of deaths in Africa. The World Health Organization (WHO) defines low blood oxygen saturation (SpO2) levels (hypoxemia) as 90%. Hypoxemia is identified in 31% of child pneumonia cases in Africa and is a key marker of elevated mortality risk. When children are hypoxemic, the WHO recommends oxygen treatment. Importantly, the WHO threshold of 90% for hypoxemia was based on concerns over limited oxygen supply and hospital over-crowding in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), rather than quality evidence. In most LMICs, low oxygen flow is the mainstay of oxygen delivery. Recently, in high-income settings high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen has emerged as a safe and effective alternative. HFNC oxygen delivers higher flow warmed, humidified gas via nasal prongs to reverse hypoxemia, and potentially improve outcomes.

Recent evidence challenges whether the WHO & 90% hypoxemia threshold is optimal for identifying all children at higher risk of mortality in LMICs. One meta-analysis from 13 LMICs reported 3.66-fold-higher odds of death (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.42, 9.47) for children with a SpO2 93%. The investigators research from Malawi and Bangladesh established children with pneumonia and SpO2 between 90-93% (moderate hypoxemia) is common, and, compared to higher SpO2 levels, conveys higher mortality risk. To date, African children with a SpO2 90-93% are not recommended for oxygen treatment. Observational data from Malawi found children with moderate hypoxemia and treated with oxygen had higher survival than those referred with a SpO2 90%. Currently, no randomized trials have determined whether low flow oxygen or HFNC oxygen treatment reduces the mortality of children with moderate hypoxemia (SpO2 90-93%) in African LMICs.

Aim 1: Conduct a pilot open label, three armed, parallel, randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing standard care, low-flow oxygen, and HFNC oxygen for children with clinical pneumonia and a SpO2 90-93% to determine feasibility of a larger trial. The investigators hypothesize it will be feasible to recruit, randomize, treat, and safely follow-up all participants. Children with SpO2 90-93% will be randomized 1:1:1 to standard care without oxygen (controls), low flow oxygen (intervention #1), or HFNC oxygen (intervention #2). The primary outcome will be feasibility, defined as the proportion of enrolled children with 2 protocol violations. Secondary outcomes include consent refusal, intervention efficacy, participant attrition, and safety.

Aim 2: Determine the prevalence of young Malawian children with a SpO2 90-93% at the designated study hospital. The investigators hypothesize a SpO2 90-93% will be common among children presenting to the trial hospital. The investigators will measure the SpO2 of all children under-five years old (not limited to pneumonia cases) presenting to the hospital 1 week per month over 12-months. Conservatively assuming an average volume of 30 children per day, based on prior data, the investigators will generate 1,400 SpO2 measurements.

Inclusion criteria

• 1-59 months of age
• Pneumonia (as defined by the World Health Organization)
• Oxygen saturation 90-93% without oxygen

Exclusion criteria

• Emergency signs (signs of severe illness as defined by the World Health Organization) including:
• absent or obstructed breathing,
• severe respiratory distress,
• shock,
• decreased mental status,
• convulsions, or
• severe dehydration