The Validation of Rockall Scoring System in Predicting Outcomes From Variceal Bleeding

Objective This study aims to evaluate the validation of the Rockall scoring system in predicting the outcomes of variceal bleeding among Sudanese patients.

Design/Method A cross-sectional hospital-based study involved 150 adult Sudanese patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) of variceal origin. Patients with UGIB resulting from causes other than varices and those who declined participation were excluded. Data were collected through a structured questionnaire complemented by upper gastrointestinal tract endoscopy findings, and patients were followed up until discharge.

Results The study encompassed 150 patients, predominantly male (117, 78%), aged between 18 and 60 years (n=119, 79%), residing mainly in central regions (134, 89%). The leading presenting complaints included hematemesis (70, 46.7%) and melena (22, 14.6%). Notably, peri-portal fibrosis (101, 67.3%) and cirrhosis (24, 16%) were the primary etiological factors, with a significant prevalence of alcohol consumption (87, 58%). Concerning the grade of esophageal varices, grades III and IV were most prevalent (67, 44.7% and 47, 31.3%, respectively), and fundal varices were identified in 13 patients (8.7%). The mean Rockall score was 3.83 ± 1.99, indicating moderate severity. Additionally, the Rockall score showed significant associations with the number of sessions, complications, bleeding recurrence, duration of hospital stay, and mortality (p < 0.05).

Conclusion Understanding the significance of the Rockall scoring system and its applicability to Sudanese patients with variceal bleeding has the potential to guide more effective strategies in the management of upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding, ultimately improving patient outcomes and reducing morbidity and mortality.