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NCT Number: NCT05946044

The Osteoarthritis Prevention Study

The goal of this study is to establish the efficacy of an intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for knee Osteoarthritis (OA) prevention in adult females aged ≥ 50 years with obesity and no or infrequent knee pain. The primary aim is to compare the effects of a dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) knee OA. Secondary aims will determine the intervention effects on pain, mobility, health-related quality of life, knee joint compressive forces, inflammatory measures, weight loss, exercise self-efficacy, and cost-effectiveness of this intervention.

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Key information

Age range

50 year and older

Sex eligibility

Female

Study type

Interventional

Phase

Not applicable

Primary location

University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia

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About this study

Osteoarthritis (OA), the leading cause of disability among adults, is without a cure and is associated with significant comorbidities. OA ranks as the third most common diagnosis for hospital inpatient stays with 1.25 M per year, with the knee the most commonly affected weight-bearing joint. This study will address knee OA disease prevention in adult females because prevention of OA is preferable to treatment, females are affected at nearly twice the rate as males, and to date interventions designed to slow or stop knee OA progression have failed. Dietary weight loss, with and without exercise, has level 1 evidence of effective treatment for adults with knee OA and overweight and obesity. Reduced degenerative cartilage changes are also associated with weight loss, making it a possible preventive therapy for people at risk for knee OA. The objective of this Phase III, multi-site (Boston, MA, Chapel Hill, NC, Sydney, Australia, and Winston-Salem, NC) randomized clinical trial is to establish the efficacy of an intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for knee OA prevention. We will establish efficacy in structural, symptomatic, and mechanistic outcomes compared to attention control, and determine the cost-effectiveness of this non-pharmacologic, non-surgical intervention in preventing incident knee OA in adult females aged ≥ 50 years with obesity and no or infrequent knee pain, a cohort at high risk for knee OA.

Participants will be 1,230 ambulatory, community dwelling females with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2), and aged ≥ 50 years. Structural and symptomatic eligibility will be determined at the individual knee level. The eligible knee will have no radiographic (Kellgren Lawrence (KL) score ≤ 1) and no MRI knee OA with no or infrequent knee pain (< 15 days/month) in the same knee. The primary aim is to compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural (MRI) knee OA using the MRI OA Knee Score (MOAKS). Secondary aims will determine the intervention effects on the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) pain, mobility (6 minute walk distance), and health-related quality of life (SF-36). Mechanistic secondary outcomes include knee joint compressive forces as a measure of joint loading, IL-6 as an inflammatory measure, and weight loss and exercise self-efficacy. A cost-effectiveness analysis will establish the value of the 48-month D+E (diet and exercise) intervention.

This study is significant in that it will test a critically needed primary prevention intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for females at risk for the development of knee OA designed to reduce incident structural knee OA compared to an attention control group, and intended to maximize health benefits at a reasonable cost.

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: Yes

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

  • Female
  • BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2
  • An eligible knee will have no OA by xray and MRI
  • No or infrequent knee pain (< 15 days/month) in the same knee

Exclusion criteria

  • symptomatic or severe coronary artery disease
  • unable to walk without a device
  • blindness
  • type 1 diabetes
  • active treatment for cancer
  • during the past 12 months knee fracture, anterior cruciate ligament (ACL), medial collateral ligament (MCL), or meniscus injury with or without surgical repair
  • knee injection during the past 6 months
  • bilateral knee OA by x-ray Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) ≥ 2
  • bilateral knee OA by MRI
  • bilateral symptomatic knee OA (frequent bilateral knee pain > 15 days per month)
  • BMI< 30.0 kg/m2
  • male sex
  • claustrophobia
  • contraindication to MRI including body weight > 300 lbs or knee coil does not fit
  • unwillingness or inability to change eating and physical activity habits due to environment
  • cannot speak and read English
  • planning to leave area > 2 months during the 48-month intervention period

Treatment and study plan

Diet and Exercise

Behavioral

Group and individual weight loss and weight maintenance sessions combined with exercise throughout the 48 months.

Primary outcomes

  1. Structural knee Osteoarthritis (OA) MRI change Scores

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural (MRI) knee OA. Assessed using the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS). The MOAKS evaluates degenerative changes in the knee, including the location and severity of osteophyte formation, bone marrow lesions, and cartilage loss. The MOAKS classification system of osteophytes has grades ranging from 0 (none) to 3 (large).

Secondary outcomes

  1. Knee Pain Scores

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS pain). Standardized answer options are given (5 Likert boxes) and each question is assigned a score from 0 to 4. A normalized score is calculated for the pain subscale. We will transform the score to a 0-100 scale, with 100 representing the most pain and 0 representing no pain.

  2. Mobility Scores

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on 6-minute walk distance. Assessment of 6 minute walk distance (measured in meters). Greater distance indicates better mobility.

  3. Health-Related Quality of Life Scores

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on health-related quality of life (SF-36). Questions from the SF-36 yield 2 broad summary scores: physical health and mental health. Scores for each domain range from 0 to 100, with a higher score defining a more favorable health state.

Other outcomes

  1. Knee Joint Loading Number

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on knee joint compressive loads (Newtons). Higher numbers indicate greater loads.

  2. Inflammation Value

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on plasma Interleukin-6 (IL-6). Higher values indicate more inflammation.

  3. Self-Efficacy Scores - exercise

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on exercise self-efficacy. Exercise self efficacy will be measured using the walking efficacy for duration scale measures one's ability to walk/jog at a moderately fast pace for various durations. Range 0-100. A higher score indicates a higher self-efficacy. indicate better self-efficacy.

  4. Self-Efficacy Scores - weight loss

    Time frame: Month 48

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on weight loss self-efficacy. Weight-loss self efficacy will be measured by the weight efficacy lifestyle questionnaire. A 20-item measure developed to assess self-efficacy for weight management. Participants are asked to rate their confidence to resist the desire to eat using a 10-point scale ranging from 0 not confident to 9 very confident. Total scores range from 0-180. Higher scores indicate better self-efficacy.

  5. Cost-Effectiveness Ratios

    Time frame: Month 48

    To establish the cost-effectiveness of this multimodal weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance program by conducting cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact analyses using data from the current trial in a validated computer-simulation model of knee OA. The cost-effectiveness ratio provides a measure of value for money. The cost-effectiveness of a specific prevention or treatment strategy is measured in dollars per quality-adjusted life-year gained ($/QALY). a budget impact analysis (BIA) of the weight loss program quantifies the financial consequences of adopting the weight loss program by various payer models.

Study contacts

Contact information is provided by the study sponsor or research team.

Jovita Newman

CONTACT

[email protected]

336-758-3969

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Wake Forest University

Other

Collaborators

  • Arthritis Foundation
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
  • National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health (NCCIH)
  • National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (NIAMS)
  • Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research (OBSSR)
  • Office of Disease Prevention
  • Office of Research on Women's Health (ORWH)
  • Rapid Nutrition PLC
  • University of Missouri-Columbia

Registry information

Acronym: TOPS

Important dates

Study start
2024
Primary completion
2029
Study completion
2029
First posted
Jul 14, 2023
Registry last updated
Jul 23, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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