The Effectiveness of Patch-Based Screening for Pre-Symptomatic Atrial Fibrillation to Improve Patient Outcome

The study hypothesis is that screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) in participants at risk for AF will be associated with a reduction in adverse cardiovascular outcomes. This trial will enroll 24,060 participants with CHA2DS2-VASc score >=3, aged >=65 years without known AF to be randomized to either receive systematic screening at-home with a Zio Patch monitor or to no screening (usual care). If Zio Patch readings indicate AF or another significant arrhythmia, the provider(s) will be advised to consider a set of evidence-based guidelines, including but not limited to anticoagulation. The primary outcome is time to a composite of several events that are complications of AF or its treatment, all of them assessed remotely via electronic administrative records.

The Primary Objective is to assess the effect of a strategy for screening for pre-symptomatic AF on a composite outcome of complications of AF and its treatment, in a prospective, randomized trial. Secondary Objective is to assess the effectiveness of this strategy on the rate of clinical diagnosis of AF.

Primary Endpoint: composite of 1) hospitalization for stroke; 2) hospitalization for systemic embolism; 3) hospitalization for heart failure; 4) hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome; 5) hospitalization for bleeding; 6) death from any cause.

Secondary Endpoints: diagnosis of AF (ICD-10 codes); individual components of the composite outcome.

24,060 patients age >=65 years at approximately 100 VA Medical Centers throughout the US; representation of every VISN and likely every US state is anticipated. CHA2DS2-VASc score >=3 ensures that participants have cardiovascular risk factors (with age considered such a risk factor) but are not necessarily chronically ill. Those already diagnosed with AF, diagnosed with dementia, or anticoagulated long-term for reasons other than AF will be excluded. The VA population is ~89% male with skewing that increases with age; inclusion of Veterans aged 55-64 years and the fact that female sex contributes 1 point to the CHA2DS2-VASc score should increase enrollment of women. Because of the pragmatic trial design and the fact that AF in Veterans <age 55 years is very uncommon, the study population will be restricted to only those >=55 years with AF. However, the primary outcome analysis will include only those Veterans age 65 years in order to assess outcomes from the EHR and other electronic data sources remotely.

Approximately 100 VA Medical Centers with primary care and outpatient cardiology services will be used. The study will not include sites outside the US.

The trial is planned for 3 years of active enrollment and at least 3 years of remote follow-up of the last enrolled participant, thus 6 years of data collection (3-6 years per patient), with an additional year for the completion of data analysis, 7 years (84 months) total.

Participant duration is less than one month to enroll in the screening trial and complete the Zio Patch screening procedure. After that, clinical management is per the participant's providers, and all data are collected remotely using VA and CMS administrative data.

Inclusion criteria

To be eligible to participate in this study, an individual must meet all of the following criteria:

• Male or female, age >=65 years
• CHA2DS2-Vasc score >=3. The score is comprised of age (2 points for 75, 1 point for 65-74), sex (1 point for female), history of stroke, TIA, or systemic embolism (2 points), and history of heart failure, hypertension, vascular disease (including MI, peripheral artery disease, or aortic plaque), or diabetes (1 point each).

Exclusion criteria

An individual who meets any of the following criteria will be excluded from participation in this study:

• Current use of anticoagulation
• Diagnosis of AF (from administrative records or per patient during consent)
• Cardio-thoracic surgery in the prior 3 months
• Presence of pacemaker, implantable defibrillator, or implanted cardiac monitor
• Clinically significant allergy to adhesives, as reported by the patient during screening for trial enrollment
• Planned use of a brain or spinal-cord stimulator, TENS unit, or MRI scan during the period when the Zio Patch will be worn