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NCT Number: NCT05100342

Prospective Validation of a Points Score System Predicting 30-day Survival

This is a one-stage single-arm phase II clinical trial designed to prospectively test the survival prediction tool as developed by Lee et al on patients referred to radiation oncology for palliative treatments. Survival prediction score based on objective data including laboratory values, attendance to emergency room, and primary cancer origin will be assigned to each patient at time of enrollment.

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Key information

Age range

18 year and older

Sex eligibility

All sexes

Study type

Observational

Primary location

IU Health West, Avon, Indiana, United States

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About this study

This is a one-stage single-arm phase II clinical trial designed to prospectively test the survival prediction tool as developed by Lee et al (section 10.0) on patients referred to radiation oncology for palliative treatments. Survival prediction score based on objective data including laboratory values, visits to emergency room, and primary cancer origin will be assigned to each patient at time of enrollment. The prediction tool assigns a score from 0-20, with 20 indicating the worst survival prognosis; the investigators have designated mortality risk groups as follows: low-risk (score 0-6), intermediate-risk (score 7-13), and high-risk (score 14-20). Patient survival and quality of life will then be monitored at 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day intervals. The study will test the hypothesis that patients with a score of >14 have a less than 20% chance of survival at 30 days.

Primary Objective:

  • To evaluate 30-day survival of patients with a score of >14 (high-risk group)

Secondary Objectives:

  • To evaluate 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day survival of patients in low-risk (score 0-6), and intermediate-risk (score 7-13) groups, and to evaluate 90-day and 365-day survival of patients in high-risk group (score >14)
  • To evaluate patient-reported quality of life at the above intervals using the validated FACIT-Pal-14© questionnaire (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy - Palliative Care 14 Item Version)

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: No

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age ≥ 18 at time of consent
  • Ability to provide written informed consent
  • Cancer diagnosis referred to Radiation Oncology for palliative radiation therapy
  • Patients who either choose to not receive radiation therapy or not recommended to receive radiation therapy will remain eligible
  • Those patients who undergo a course of palliative radiation therapy, it is not the requirement of this study to complete that course of treatment. Those who prematurely end their course of treatment will remain eligible Note: Patients who ultimately either choose to not receive radiation or not recommended to receive radiation will remain eligible

Note: Patients who ultimately do not complete prescribed radiation will remain eligible

Exclusion criteria

  • Patients who are unable to participate in follow up visits per investigator discretion (virtual/phone follow up is permitted)
  • Patients who are receiving definitive/curative course of radiation therapy
  • Patients who self-report as pregnant or nursing

Treatment and study plan

Point score prediction tool for 30-day survival

Diagnostic Test

This tool requires laboratory data including white blood cell count, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, blood urea nitrogen, bilirubin, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, and red cell distribution, as well as number of attendances to the emergency room in the past 100 days, the site receiving radiation therapy, and the primary cancer type. Each data point correlates with a point value, which are tallied to generate a final score.

The scores range from 0-20, with 0 giving the highest chance for survival at 30 days and 20 giving the lowest chance for survival at 30 days

Primary outcomes

  1. 30-day survival of patients with a score of >14 (high-risk group)

    Time frame: From baseline to 30 days after enrollment

    The percentage of patients with a score of >14 who are living at 30 days following enrollment

Secondary outcomes

  1. The percentage of patients in each risk group (low, intermediate, and high) who are living at 30 days, 90 days, and 365 days following enrollment

    Time frame: 30 days, 90 days and 365 days after enrollment

    Review of medical records.

  2. Tabulated patient-report quality of life surveys at 30 days, 90 days, and 365 days

    Time frame: Baseline, 30 days, 90 days and 365 days after enrollment

    Using the FACIT-Pal-14© questionnaire (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy - Palliative Care 14 Item Version

Study contacts

Contact information is provided by the study sponsor or research team.

Jessica Anders

CONTACT

[email protected]

(317) 274-0220

Naoyuki G Saito, MD PhD

CONTACT

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Indiana University

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Prospective Validation of a Points Score System Predicting 30-day Survival for Patients With Metastatic Cancer Receiving Palliative Radiation Therapy

Important dates

Study start
2022
Primary completion
2026
Study completion
2027
First posted
Oct 29, 2021
Registry last updated
May 8, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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