Prediction of the COBRRA AF Anticoagulant Trial in Healthcare Claims Data

This is a non-randomized, non-interventional study that is part of the RCT DUPLICATE initiative (www.rctduplicate.org) of the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School. It is intended to replicate, as closely as possible in healthcare insurance claims data, the trial listed below/above. Although many features of the trial cannot be directly replicated in healthcare claims, key design features, including outcomes, exposures, and inclusion/exclusion criteria, were selected to proxy those features from the trial. Randomization is also not replicable in healthcare claims data but was proxied through a statistical balancing of measured covariates through standard practice. Investigators assume that the RCT provides the reference standard treatment effect estimate and that failure to replicate RCT findings is indicative of the inadequacy of the healthcare claims data for replication for a range of possible reasons and does not provide information on the validity of the original RCT finding.

Inclusion criteria

• At least 18 years of age
• Non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Exclusion criteria

• Prior anticoagulant use [Day -180, Day 0]
• Stage 4 or 5 chronic kidney disease or end-stage renal disease [Day -180, Day 0]
• Dialysis or renal transplant [Day -180, Day 0]
• Recent major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding [Day -180, Day 0]
• Other indications for anticoagulation (DVT, PE, or prosthetic heart valve) [Day -180, Day 0]
• Use of an antiplatelet [Day -180, Day 0]
• Significant liver disease and coagulopathy [Day -180, Day 0]
• Use of CYP3A4 or P-gp inhibitors or inducers [Day -180, Day 0]
• Pregnancy or breastfeeding [Day -180, Day 0]
• Cancer [Day -180, Day 0]
• Bypass surgery, obesity, or the use of a weight loss or appetite suppressor [Day -180, Day 0]
• Mitral stenosis with or without insufficiency, mitral rheumatic insufficiency, and other/unspecified mitral valve disorders [Day -180, Day 0]