Population Effectiveness of Dolutegravir Implementation in Sub-Saharan Africa

This study is a prospective observational cohort study at three government-supported HIV clinics in rural South Africa and Uganda. We will enroll 1,000 adults living with HIV who are switched from first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) containing non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) to TLD. We will follow participants for one year with study visits at enrollment, 24 weeks, and 48 weeks. Study procedures include interviews, body measurements, chart review, and collection of blood and urine specimens for retrospective testing, including viral load, drug resistance testing, antiretroviral drug level testing, and tests to evaluate the effects of TLD on renal, liver, metabolic, and other organ function.

Aim 1: To determine the contributions of resistance prior to switch to TLD from a NNRTI-based regimen to risk of treatment failure after six and twelve months on TLD. Hypothesis: People living with HIV who experience virologic failure on TLD will have increased odds of NRTI mutations prior to TLD exposure, compared to controls with virologic suppression.

Aim 2: Explore pharmacologic measures of adherence to distinguish virologic failure on TLD due to suboptimal adherence versus resistance using 2a) urine tenofovir (TFV) levels and 2b) tenofovir diphosphate (TFV-DP) in dried blood spots (DBS). Hypothesis: Absence of TFV in urine and TFV-DP concentrations in DBS will distinguish ART failure with versus without resistance.

Inclusion criteria

• Age ≥18 years
• HIV-positive and in care at one of the study clinics
• Current use of NNRTI-based, first-line ART for a minimum of 6 months
• Prescribed change to TLD by clinic staff
• Residing within 100 kilometers of the treatment clinic without plans to change permanent residence in the next 48 weeks
• Consents to participation

Exclusion criteria

There are no specific exclusion criteria. Both men and women will be theoretically eligible. We note that decision to use TLD in patients at the recruitment clinic will be made by clinic staff, and referral for study procedures will not be made until after this decision is made. We also note that, as of the time of this protocol draft, TLD use might be limited to men, women of non-child bearing ages, and women confirmed to be on contraception. This study will follow both national guidelines and clinician discretion about use of TLD in the clinic population.