Ischemic And Bleeding Risk Assessment After TAVR

Nowadays in the post POPULAR-TAVI era, after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), an establish uniform approach towards anticoagulation and antithrombotic therapy were established.

All patients undergoing TAVR without other indication to dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) or oral anticoagulation (OAC), were currently treated according with the general concept of "less is more" (only single antiplatelet therapy - SAPT or only oral anticoagulation - OAC) [1-3].

By comparing the frequency of ischemic and bleeding events, data from trial revealed that the bleeding events were more frequent than the ischemic one despite the level of surgical risk, however a gradient of reduction in terms of difference was seen from the highest to the lowest risk profile [4].

Furthermore, recent literature showed how the timeframe analysis approach, giving the possibility for a complete time variability evaluation, is able to visualize the fluctuation of the risk over the time. Unfortunately, no stratified data according with the surgical risk level, are available using this approach [5].

Moreover, despite these results that highlight the relevance of the patient's background on the occurrence of ischemic and bleeding events, a tailored antithrombotic strategy remains unexplored and all patients undergoing TAVR without other indication to DAPT or OAC, were currently treated with a uniform approach in terms of intensity during the time (1-3).

1.1. Assessment of ischemic and bleeding risk after TAVR according with antithrombotic therapy and surgical risk The rate of adverse thrombotic and hemorrhagic events occurred in the first days after the procedure, were mainly driven by the TAVR's access bleeding and the periprocedural stroke.

Recent study, using the average daily risk analysis, showed the prevalence of the ischemic risk in the first 30 days after the procedure followed by a rising of the bleeding one which become predominant during the follow up, affecting the long-term prognosis [5].

However, only data based on surgical risk derived from the 'first time event approach' are available in the literature and none of them investigates whether the higher expected risks - both ischemic and hemorrhagic - in the highest risk cohort remain high even months after TAVR.

Bearing this in mind, these observations revealed that ischemic and bleeding events are not evenly distributed over time, suggesting that a risk-based modulation of the antithrombotic therapy could be better capture the time-dependent evolution of the phenomena. Experience from several studies on antithrombotic therapy in the PCI field, have focused on the intensity and the timing of administration, while no such evidence exists in the field of TAVR (6-7).

Thus, the comprehension of this phenomena holds the potential benefit of a tailored antithrombotic therapy guided by an integrated approach based on the trend of ischemic and bleeding risk stratified according to the patient's risk profile and the antithrombotic regimen adopted.

1.2. Impact of prostheses type and complete blood count variables on ischemic and bleeding events As the same of patient's features and periprocedural variables, it is possible to assume that also the prostheses characteristics in terms of type of leaflet (porcine vs bovine), stent frame amount (short frame versus long frame) and the number of they (valve-in-valve), are not fully investigated previously and may play a role in the thrombotic and hemorrhagic adverse events occurrence.

Understanding the impact of structural and functional valve's characteristics on the bleeding and ischemic risk among patients who undergo TAVR, may have important implications in prosthesis and antithrombotic therapy selection and needs to be investigated properly with a "repeated-event" analysis.

Moreover, also the frequent phenomenon of anemia and thrombocytopenia after TAVR, were identified from several studies as predictors of poor outcome up to 1 year follow up even with a perfect prosthesis function and despite the mechanism behind, it's not completely understood (8). According to these data the relationship between blood count abnormalities, type of prosthesis and ischemic and bleeding risk have never been explored.

The identification of predictive variables leading to the development of anemia and thrombocytopenia and their impact on the risk of hemorrhagic and thrombotic events, might allow us a tailored selection of prosthesis, antithrombotic strategy and procedural planning in order to potentially reduce the risk of adverse events.

1.3. Dynamic therapeutic changes after TAVI Several studies investigated the impact of different antithrombotic strategies on outcomes and prosthesis performance by comparing different approaches in combination. However, most of them assessed the clinical endpoints considering only the discharge therapy, with a lack of real data in terms of regimes switching and duration of any effective treatment prescribed.

The assessment of these data during follow-up, remains underexplored even though their availability could potentially allow an accurate definition of the ongoing strategy at the time of adverse event occurrence. Moreover, the collection of these variables may provide important information about the antithrombotic management, including the reason, the rate and the timing of crossover for each treatment.

Finally, given the evolution of the antithrombotic strategy in the last years, in particular in the pre and post Popular TAVI era, and knowing the therapeutic management during the first year of follow up, it's possible to define the impact of any study/trial on the real-world approach in recent years.

Inclusion criteria

• All patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVR.
• Availability of changes in antithrombotic therapy at 1 month, 90 days, and 1 year after TAVR.

Exclusion criteria

• Patients who died during the index procedure
• Patients in triple antithrombotic therapy at discharge
• Patients with a known prognosis less than 1 year at the time of TAVR