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NCT Number: NCT07560189

IPF Longitudinal Natural History Study

This is a longitudinal observational cohort study of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) conducted within the Assiut University IPF Research Program between 2022 and 2026. The study aims to characterize the natural history, temporal disease dynamics, event patterns, and clinical outcomes of IPF over a two-year follow-up period.

Primary analyses focus on disease progression, acute exacerbation, hospitalization, mortality, and final clinical state. Secondary analyses include prespecified evaluation of the Inflammatory Burnout Index (IBI; Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18843181) and the Severity-Phenotype-Dynamics integration framework (SPD; Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18843362) as observational analytical frameworks for disease activity and multidimensional disease characterization. These frameworks are applied for research stratification only and do not influence treatment allocation, clinical management, or follow-up decisions.

Active, Not Recruiting

This study is active but is not currently recruiting participants.

Key information

Age range

18 year and older

Sex eligibility

All sexes

Study type

Observational

Primary location

Faculty Of Medicine - Assiut University Hospitals - Assiut - Egypt

Asyut, 71515, Egypt

About this study

This observational cohort study follows patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis using predefined longitudinal clinical, physiological, radiological, and outcome assessments. The study is designed to describe disease burden, temporal progression, event distribution, and end-state outcomes in a real-world IPF cohort.

Eligible participants are adults with a clinical and radiological diagnosis of IPF according to standard diagnostic assessment, with available baseline evaluation and planned longitudinal follow-up. Patients are followed for up to two years to document acute exacerbations, respiratory hospitalization, functional decline, mortality, and final clinical status.

The study includes secondary analytical evaluation of two predefined disease-characterization frameworks. The Inflammatory Burnout Index (IBI) is used to evaluate dynamic inflammatory-fibrotic balance and functional reserve. The SPD framework integrates disease severity, phenotype, and dynamic disease behavior into a multidimensional observational stratification structure. Both frameworks are archived with Zenodo DOIs and are evaluated without modifying patient care.

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: No

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

  • Adults aged ≥18 years.
  • Diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis based on clinical and radiological assessment according to standard guidelines.
  • Availability of baseline clinical, functional, and radiological evaluation.
  • Enrollment within the Assiut University IPF Research Program.
  • Ability to undergo longitudinal follow-up and outcome assessment.

Exclusion criteria

  • Interstitial lung disease other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
  • Alternative diagnosis inconsistent with IPF based on clinical or radiological evaluation
  • Incomplete baseline data preventing cohort classification
  • Refusal to participate or inability to complete follow-up
  • End-stage disease at baseline requiring invasive mechanical ventilation or terminal care
  • Active malignancy or severe comorbidity expected to dominate short-term prognosis
  • Long-term systemic immunosuppressive therapy not aligned with standard IPF management

Treatment and study plan

Primary outcomes

  1. Time to First Composite Clinical Event (Acute Exacerbation, Hospitalization, or Death) in 24 months

    Time frame: 24 months

    Time from cohort entry (baseline enrollment) to the first occurrence of any of the following events: acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, respiratory-related hospitalization, or all-cause mortality. Events are prospectively recorded during longitudinal follow-up within the study period.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Time to First Acute Exacerbation of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

    Time frame: Up to 24 months

    Time from baseline enrollment to the first occurrence of acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis during follow-up.

  2. Time to First Respiratory-Related Hospitalization

    Time frame: Up to 24 months

    Time from baseline to first hospitalization related to respiratory deterioration or acute exacerbation.

  3. All-Cause Mortality

    Time frame: Up to 24 months

    Occurrence of death from any cause during the study follow-up period.

  4. Inflammatory Burnout Index (IBI)-Defined Disease Activity

    Time frame: Up to 12 months

    Evaluation of disease activity using the Inflammatory Burnout Index (IBI), a predefined analytical framework for dynamic disease characterization (Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18843181). Applied observationally without influencing clinical management.

  5. Severity-Phenotype-Dynamics (SPD) Integrated Disease States

    Time frame: Up to 24 months

    Assessment of integrated disease states using the Severity-Phenotype-Dynamics (SPD) framework combining severity, phenotype, and dynamic disease behavior (Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18843362). Applied for observational stratification only.

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Assiut University

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Natural History and Temporal Dynamics of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Longitudinal Cohort Study With Structured Disease Stratification

Important dates

Study start
2022
Primary completion
2026
Study completion
2026
First posted
May 1, 2026
Registry last updated
May 1, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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