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Completed

NCT Number: NCT07619495

Injectable Semaglutide vs Dulaglutide in Individuals at Cardiovascular Risk

Investigators are building an empirical evidence base for real world data through large-scale emulation of randomized controlled trials. The investigators' goal is to understand for what types of clinical questions real world data analyses can be conducted with confidence and how to implement such studies.

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Key information

Age range

18 year and older

Sex eligibility

All sexes

Study type

Observational

Primary location

Brigham and Women's Hospital

Boston, Massachusetts, 02120, United States

About this study

This is a non-randomized, non-interventional study that is part of the Randomized Controlled Trials Duplicated Using Prospective Longitudinal Insurance Claims: Applying Techniques of Epidemiology (RCT-DUPLICATE) initiative (www.rctduplicate.org) of the Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School. It is intended to assess the comparative effectiveness of semaglutide vs dulaglutide on cardiovascular outcomes in individuals typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and overweight.

Although many features of the target trial cannot be directly replicated in healthcare claims, key design features, including outcomes, exposures, and inclusion/exclusion criteria, were selected to proxy those features from the target trial. Randomization cannot be achieved in healthcare claims data but was proxied through a statistical balancing of measured covariates according to standard practice.

The database study will be a new-user active-comparative study, conducted using 3 national United States claims databases, where the effect of semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the composite end point of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke will be assessed. Clinical guidelines during the study period recommended both injectable semaglutide and dulaglutide for the same indications of glucose lowering and cardiovascular risk reduction.

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: No

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Study Period:

Optum: Eligible cohort entry period between December 5, 2017 to November 30, 2025.

MarketScan: Eligible cohort entry period between December 5, 2017 to September 30, 2023.

Medicare: Eligible cohort entry period between December 5, 2017 to September 30, 2020.

Inclusion criteria

  • Men or women aged 18 years or older
  • History of myocardial infarction, stroke, any surgical or percutaneous revascularization procedure
  • Use of antihypertensive or lipid-lowering drugs
  • Coronary, carotid, or peripheral artery disease
  • BMI greater than or equal to 25.0 mg/m2
  • Type 2 diabetes

Exclusion criteria

  • Medullary thyroid carcinoma
  • MEN syndrome type 2
  • Malignancy
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • Secondary diabetes
  • End-stage renal disease or dialysis
  • Uncontrolled diabetic retinopathy or maculopathy
  • Pregnancy
  • History of bariatric surgery
  • Prior use of pramlintide or any GLP-1-RA, except semaglutide or dulaglutide
  • Cardiovascular event or intervention in the last 7 days

Treatment and study plan

semaglutide

Drug

Initiation of injectable semaglutide described in electronic health records is used as the exposure.

Dulaglutide

Drug

Initiation of dulaglutide described in electronic health records is used as the reference.

Primary outcomes

  1. Composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke.

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the individual components of the primary endpoint, i.e., all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  2. Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for heart failure in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  3. Hospitalization for heart failure

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the occurrence of heart failure hospitalizations in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  4. Hospitalization for unstable angina

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on hospitalizations for unstable angina in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  5. Coronary revascularization

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the occurrence of coronary revascularization in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

Other outcomes

  1. Urinary tract infections

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the safety outcome of urinary tract infections in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  2. Serious infections

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the safety outcome of serious infections in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  3. Gastrointestinal adverse events

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the comparative effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the safety outcome of gastrointestinal adverse events in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  4. Hernia

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the negative control outcome of hernia in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

  5. Lumbar radiculopathy

    Time frame: 1 day after cohort entry until outcome, disenrollment, end of study period, death, 365 days after cohort entry, discontinuation (45 days grace and risk window), switch between study arms, nursing home admission, or start of any other GLP-1-RA

    To evaluate the effect of injectable semaglutide vs dulaglutide on the negative control outcome of lumbar radiculopathy in patients typically treated in clinical practice who are at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk with type 2 diabetes and overweight.

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Brigham and Women's Hospital

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Comparative Effectiveness of Semaglutide and Dulaglutide in Patients at Low, Moderate, and High Cardiovascular Risk With Type 2 Diabetes and Overweight

Important dates

Study start
2026
Primary completion
2026
Study completion
2026
First posted
Jun 2, 2026
Registry last updated
Jul 9, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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