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Completed

NCT Number: NCT07032493

Identifying the Limits of Survivability in Heat-exposed Older Females

Climate change increases extreme heat events, elevating global heat-illness risk. Females have reduced heat loss capacity (~5%) compared to males, driven by differences in skin blood flow and sweating responses. While findings on sex-mediated mortality are mixed, some studies suggest older females (≥65 years), face higher heat-related mortality/morbidity risks, evidenced by disproportionate female deaths in the 2021 Western Heat Dome. The effects of extreme uncompensable heat on older females remain understudied.

Heat exposure initially causes net heat gain, raising core/skin temperatures and triggering heat-loss responses. Under compensable heat stress, heat loss balances gain, stabilizing core temperature. Uncompensable heat stress (exceeding maximal dissipation capacity) causes continuous core temperature rise, posing severe health risks. The specific temperature and relative humidity (RH) limits where compensability is lost are critical survival determinants, influenced by age and sex.

Ramping protocols identify these limits: participants face progressively increasing heat stress (e.g., staged humidity rises) while core temperature is monitored. Core temperature typically stabilizes initially, then exhibits an abrupt rapid increase at an inflection point, operationally defined as the limit of compensability. Despite increasing use, ramping protocol validity for accurately identifying this threshold remains unverified.

This project assesses ramping protocol validity for determining uncompensable conditions in older females and evaluates cumulative thermal and cardiovascular strain, as well as psychological and cognitive responses to both uncompensable and compensable heat. Participants will complete five trials. Trial 1 (Ramping): Rest at 42°C, 28% RH for 70min, then incremental RH increases (3% every 10min) to 70% RH. Individual core temperature (rectal) inflection points are identified from the ramping trial. Trials 2-5 (Fixed Conditions, Randomized): i) ~10% below inflection; ii) ~5% below inflection; iii) ~5% above inflection; iv) Thermo-neutral control (26°C, 45% RH). Comparing the rate of rectal temperature change and cumulative strain during prolonged fixed exposures (especially below vs. above inflection) will validate if the ramping inflection point represents the true limit of compensability for older females.

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Key information

Age range

65 year–85 year

Sex eligibility

Female

Study type

Interventional

Phase

Not applicable

Primary location

University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

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Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: Yes

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

  • Non-smoking.
  • English or French speaking.
  • Ability to provide informed consent.
  • With or without a) chronic hypertension (elevated resting blood pressure; as defined by Heart and Stroke Canada and Hypertension Canada), b) type 2 diabetes as defined by Diabetes Canada, with at least 5 years having elapsed since time of diagnosis

Exclusion criteria

  • Episode(s) of severe hypoglycemia (requiring the assistance of another person) within the previous year, or inability to sense hypoglycemia (hypoglycemia unawareness).
  • Serious complications related to diabetes (gastroparesis, renal disease, uncontrolled hypertension, severe autonomic neuropathy).
  • Uncontrolled hypertension - BP >150 mmHg systolic or >95 mmHg diastolic in a sitting position.
  • Restrictions in physical activity due to disease (e.g. intermittent claudication, renal impairment, active proliferative retinopathy, unstable cardiac or pulmonary disease, disabling stroke, severe arthritis, etc.).
  • Use of or changes in medication judged by the patient or investigators to make participation in this study inadvisable.
  • Cardiac abnormalities identified during screening

Treatment and study plan

Humidity-Ramp Protocol

Other

Participants are exposed to 42°C and 28% relative humidity for 70 minutes. Thereafter, humidity is increased 3% until an ambient humidity of 70% is achieved. The humidity at which rectal temperature inflect is subsequently determined.

Above-inflection fixed-condition exposure (5%)

Other

After a 1 hour equilibrium at 42°C and 28% relative humidity, humidity will be increased 3% every 10 min until it is ~5% higher than the participants' rectal esophageal temperature inflection point identified in the humidity ramp protocol. These conditions will be held constant for the remainder of the 9-hour exposure period (starting from the beginning of equilibrium). Tap water will be provided at regular intervals to limit dehydration.

Below-inflection fixed-condition exposure (5%)

Other

After a 1 hour equilibrium at 42°C and 28% relative humidity, humidity will be increased 3% every 10 min until it is ~5% lower than the participants' individual rectal temperature inflection point identified in the humidity ramp protocol. These conditions will be held constant for the remainder of the 9-hour exposure period (starting from the beginning of equilibrium). Tap water will be provided at regular intervals to limit dehydration.

Below-inflection fixed-condition exposure (10%)

Other

After a 1 hour equilibrium at 42°C and 28% relative humidity, humidity will be increased 3% every 10 min until it is ~10% lower than the participants' individual rectal temperature inflection point identified in the humidity ramp protocol. These conditions will be held constant for the remainder of the 9-hour exposure period (starting from the beginning of equilibrium). Tap water will be provided at regular intervals to limit dehydration.

Control fixed-condition exposure

Other

Participants are exposed for 9-hours to 28°C with 35% relative humidity. Participant will be allowed to drink tap water ad libitum.

Primary outcomes

  1. Rectal temperature rate of change

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Rate of change of rectal temperature measured over the final 2-hours of heat exposure

Secondary outcomes

  1. Number of participants unable to finish fixed-condition heat exposure

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Number of participants who could not complete each fixed-condition heat exposure due to participant withdrawal or achieving a core temperature of 39.5°C

  2. Mean skin temperature rate of change

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Rate of change of skin temperature measured over the final 2-hours of heat exposure

  3. Core temperature (AUC)

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Area under the curve (AUC) of rectal temperature (in degree-hours) measured over the fixed-condition heat exposure

  4. Predicted time until 40.2°C esophageal temperature

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Estimated time for rectal temperature to reach 40.2°C, a commonly-cited criteria for severe heat-illness (e.g., heat stroke), calculated from the end-exposure rectal temperature and its rate of change (assuming this rate of change is sustained)

  5. Heart rate rate of change

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Rate of change of heart rate measured over the final 2-hours of heat exposure

  6. Heart rate (AUC)

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Area under the curve (AUC) of heart rate measured over the fixed-condition heat exposure

  7. Thermal sensation

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Self-reported thermal sensation at the end of the fixed-condition exposures using and 8-point scale ranging from neutral (0) to extremely hot (8).

  8. Thermal comfort

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Thermal comfort assessed via a visual analog scale ranging from extremely uncomfortable to extremely comfortable (midpoint: neutral).

  9. Sweat rate

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Sweat rate at the end of the fixed-condition exposures (calculated via change in body weight)

  10. Net fluid loss

    Time frame: End of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Net fluid loss estimated as the percentage change in body mass over the fixed-condition exposures.

  11. Profiles of Mood States (POMS)

    Time frame: Prior to (hour 0) and at the end of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Potential changes in mood (7 subscales of mood: tension, anger, depression, fatigue, confusion, vigor and esteem-related affect). The POMS-40 is a validated, self-administered questionnaire that examines seven distinct aspects of mood state across two positive subscales (Esteem-Related Affect, and Vigor) and five negative subscales (Fatigue, Tension, Confusion, Anger, and Depression), which are described across 40 distinct adjectives (reference). For each individual item, participants were asked to describe "how you feel right now" by responding using a 5-point Likert scale (0 = "Not at all", 1 = "A little", 2 = "Moderately", 3 = "Quite a lot", or 4 = "Extremely"). The values of items associated with a specific subscale (e.g., Fatigue) were summed to calculate its score.

  12. Environmental Symptoms Questionnaire (ESQ)

    Time frame: Prior to (hour 0) and at the end of fixed-condition heat exposure (hour 9 or termination)

    Self-reported environmental reactions and medical symptomatology associated with prolonged heat exposure. The ESQ-IV is a validated 68-item, self-administered questionnaire that has been used successfully in identifying symptomatology during exposure to a wide variety of environmental conditions, including heat exposure [24, 25]. Participants are asked to assess and described "how you have been feeling today" by responding to each item using a 6-point Likert scale (0 = "Not at all", 1 = "Slight", 2 = "Somewhat", 3 = "Moderate", 4 = "Quite a bit", or 5 = "Extreme"). Total Symptom Score was calculated from this data by taking the sum of the intensity ratings from all 68 individual items using reverse scores for the three positive items from the list ("I Felt Good", "I Felt Alert", and "I Felt Wide Awake").

Other outcomes

  1. Rectal temperature inflection point

    Time frame: During the ramp protocol (up to 2.5 hours)

    Inflection point for rectal temperature during the humidity-ramp protocol

  2. Heart rate inflection point

    Time frame: During the ramp protocol (up to 2.5 hours)

    Inflection point for heart rate during the humidity-ramp protocol

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

University of Ottawa

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Identifying the Upper Environmental Limits of Thermal Compensation in Older Human Females Using a Rapid Humidity Ramp Protocol

Important dates

Study start
2025
Primary completion
2026
Study completion
2026
First posted
Jun 24, 2025
Registry last updated
Jun 11, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

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This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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