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OpenTrials
Completed

NCT Number: NCT06392048

AI-Based LOS Prediction in Hip Fracture Patients

With increasing life expectancy, the elderly population is growing. Hip fractures significantly increase morbidity and mortality, particularly within the first year, among elderly patients. Managing anesthesia in these elderly patients, who often have multiple comorbidities, is challenging. Identifying perioperative factors that can reduce mortality will benefit the perioperative management of these patients.

The aim of this study is to develop and validate a machine learning based model to predict the length of hospital stay for hip fracture patients after PACU. Different machine learning algorithms such as R language Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression will be used in the study and the best performing model will be determined. In addition, the prediction mechanism of the model will be examined with SHAP analysis and its applicability in clinical decision processes will be evaluated. Thus, by predicting the length of hospital stay, clinicians will be enabled to manage patient care processes more effectively.

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Key information

Age range

65 year–100 year

Sex eligibility

All sexes

Study type

Observational

Primary location

Kocaeli University

İzmit, Kocaeli̇, 41100, Turkey (Türkiye)

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: Yes

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

  • Patients who underwent hip fracture surgery at our institution between 2017 and 2024
  • Patients aged 65 years or older
  • Patients with hip fractures resulting from a low-energy trauma (simple fall from standing height)

Exclusion criteria

  • Patients with pathological hip fractures due to malignancy
  • Cancer patients with multiple organ metastases
  • Patients who underwent revision hip fracture surgery

Treatment and study plan

Primary outcomes

  1. Prediction of Length of Hospital Stay in Hip Fracture Patients After Post-Anesthesia Care Unit Using Artificial Intelligence

    Time frame: Assessed up to 30 days from PACU admission to hospital discharge

    Unit of Measure: Days

    • Definition: Absolute difference between predicted and actual length of stay
    • Target: ±7 days accuracy

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Kocaeli University

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Prediction of Length of Hospital Stay in Hip Fracture Patients After Post-Anesthesia Care Unit Using Artificial Intelligence

Important dates

Study start
2024
Primary completion
2025
Study completion
2025
First posted
Apr 30, 2024
Registry last updated
May 11, 2025

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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