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NCT Number: NCT07833410

Chinese Multicenter Cohort Study of Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage is a severe form of stroke associated with high mortality and long-term disability. The Chinese Multicenter Cohort Study of Intracerebral Hemorrhage (CASA) is a prospective observational patient registry designed to enroll approximately 10,000 adults with imaging-confirmed spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage and 2,000 adult healthy controls at more than 30 hospitals in China. The study will collect standardized clinical, laboratory, neuroimaging, lifestyle, and treatment data together with ethically approved blood, urine, and other biospecimens. Participants with intracerebral hemorrhage will be followed at 3 months, 6 months, and annually for up to 10 years. The primary objective is to characterize and identify determinants of the full distribution of modified Rankin Scale scores at 90 days. Secondary objectives include evaluating 90-day unfavorable functional outcome defined as mRS 4-6, recurrent intracerebral hemorrhage and mortality, identifying clinical and molecular biomarkers, and developing and externally evaluating multimodal prognostic models. The study does not assign treatment; all clinical care is determined by treating clinicians.

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Key information

Age range

18 year and older

Sex eligibility

All sexes

Study type

Observational

Primary location

Xiangya Hospital, Central South University

Changsha, Hunan, China

Location status: Recruiting

Location contact

Le Zhang, Professor, MD

CONTACT

[email protected]

+86 178 7316 7010

About this study

CASA is a multicenter, prospective, observational cohort and patient registry coordinated by Xiangya Hospital, Central South University. Consecutive adults with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage confirmed by computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging are identified within 30 days after symptom onset. A healthy comparison cohort is recruited from participating health examination programs and communities. The planned sample comprises 10,000 participants with intracerebral hemorrhage and 2,000 healthy controls.

At baseline, trained investigators obtain demographic characteristics, medical and family history, prior medications, vascular risk factors, smoking, alcohol use, dietary and sleep habits, vital signs, neurological severity scores, functional status, laboratory tests, electrocardiography, vascular examinations, treatments, complications, and discharge information. Original computed tomography, computed tomography angiography, magnetic resonance imaging, magnetic resonance angiography, diffusion-weighted imaging, susceptibility-weighted imaging, and digital subtraction angiography are collected when performed as part of clinical care. Imaging is stored in Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine format. Biospecimens are processed under standardized operating procedures, assigned coded identifiers, and stored centrally for genomic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolomic, lipidomic, epigenomic, and other prespecified analyses, within the scope of the ethics-approved consent.

Participants with intracerebral hemorrhage are followed at 3 months, 6 months, and annually from year 1 through year 10. Follow-up records functional outcome using the modified Rankin Scale, recurrent symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, and vital status. Outcomes are obtained through clinic review, telephone follow-up, family contact, and linkage to available health insurance and death-registration data. Participants not reached after at least three attempts on different dates in different months within a 12-month period are classified as lost to follow-up after additional tracing efforts.

The primary outcome is the ordinal distribution of modified Rankin Scale scores from 0 (no symptoms) to 6 (death) at 90 days. The key secondary/supportive outcome is 90-day unfavorable functional outcome, defined as mRS 4-6; this binary endpoint is also used in the protocol's minimum sample-size calculation for prognostic modelling. Other secondary analyses evaluate later mRS distributions, all-cause mortality, recurrent symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, hematoma expansion, perihematomal edema, and biomarker-outcome associations. Prediction models will be developed using clinical, imaging, and molecular data. Sites in Hunan, Jiangxi, and Hubei provinces are planned as the development cohort, and sites in other provinces as a geographically external evaluation cohort. Model performance will include discrimination, calibration, overall accuracy, and clinical utility.

The registry uses a centralized electronic data capture system, prespecified data definitions, logic and range checks, staff training, source-data review, periodic monitoring, and repeat assessment in a random 3% sample at participating sites. Biospecimen collection, transport, processing, and storage follow harmonized operating procedures with temperature monitoring and chain-of-custody records.

The study began before public registration. This retrospective registration is based on protocol version 1.0 dated 9 December 2023, initially approved on 25 January 2024 (No. 202401026). The original protocol prespecified mRS follow-up and used mRS 4-6 in its prognostic-model sample-size calculation but did not label one outcome as primary. Before PRS submission, the steering committee formalized the 90-day ordinal mRS distribution as the primary outcome and mRS 4-6 at 90 days as the key secondary/supportive outcome. The decision, its date and the absence of outcome-informed changes should be recorded in a signed protocol clarification or statistical analysis plan.

Who can participate

Healthy volunteers accepted: Yes

Only the study team can determine whether someone qualifies for participation.

Inclusion criteria

- Intracerebral Hemorrhage Cohort:

  • Age 18 years or older.
  • Intracerebral hemorrhage confirmed by head computed tomography and/or magnetic resonance imaging.
  • Hemorrhage located in a deep cerebral region, cerebral lobe, cerebellum, or brainstem.
  • Presentation to a participating hospital within 30 days after symptom onset.
  • Written informed consent and broad consent provided in accordance with the ethics-approved process.

Exclusion criteria

- Intracerebral Hemorrhage Cohort:

  • Traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage.
  • Secondary intracerebral hemorrhage attributed to an arteriovenous malformation, ruptured aneurysm, moyamoya disease, cavernous malformation, hematologic disorder, hemorrhagic tumor, vasculitis, cerebral venous thrombosis, hemorrhagic transformation of cerebral infarction, or other prespecified secondary cause.
  • Mixed intracerebral hemorrhage involving multiple deep and lobar locations at onset.
  • Severe psychiatric disease that precludes study procedures or follow-up.
  • End-stage hepatic or renal failure.
  • Autoimmune disease judged by the investigator to materially affect study objectives.
  • Active malignant tumor.
  • Pregnancy.
  • Any other condition that the investigator judges makes participation inappropriate.

Inclusion criteria

- Healthy Control Cohort:

  • Age 18 years or older.
  • Able to provide written informed consent.
  • No known history of intracerebral hemorrhage.

Exclusion criteria

- Healthy Control Cohort:

  • Malignant tumor.
  • Neurologic disease, particularly any prior intracerebral hemorrhage.
  • Any other condition that the investigator judges makes participation inappropriate.

Treatment and study plan

Primary outcomes

  1. Distribution of modified Rankin Scale scores at 90 day

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Ordinal distribution of modified Rankin Scale scores among participants with intracerebral hemorrhage. The scale ranges from 0 (no symptoms) to 6 (death); higher scores indicate worse functional outcome. The primary analysis uses all seven ordered categories rather than dichotomizing the scale.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Unfavorable functional outcome at 90 days

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Proportion of participants with an mRS score of 4-6. This key secondary/supportive binary endpoint is used for prognostic-model development and corresponds to the adverse functional outcome used in the protocol's sample-size calculation.

  2. Distribution of modified Rankin Scale scores during longer-term follow-up

    Time frame: 6 months and annually from year 1 through year 10 after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Ordinal distribution of mRS scores from 0 (no symptoms) to 6 (death) at each prespecified follow-up.

  3. All-cause mortality

    Time frame: From enrollment through 10 years after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Death from any cause ascertained by follow-up contact, medical records, and available death-registration or health insurance linkage.

  4. Recurrent symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage

    Time frame: From enrollment through 10 years after the index intracerebral hemorr

    A new acute neurologic event with new intracerebral hemorrhage confirmed by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging and adjudicated according to the study endpoint definition.

  5. Early hematoma expansion

    Time frame: Baseline imaging to the first clinically obtained follow-up computed tomography within 72 hours

    Increase in intraparenchymal hematoma volume of more than 6 mL or more than 33% from baseline. Participants without an eligible follow-up scan will be reported separately and will not be assumed to have no expansion.

  6. Change in perihematomal edema volume

    Time frame: Baseline imaging to follow-up neuroimaging within 72 hours

    Absolute and relative change in segmented perihematomal edema volume between baseline and follow-up imaging.

  7. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve of the Multimodal Model

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Discrimination of the prespecified multimodal prediction model for unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 4-6) at 90 days, reported as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with a 95% confidence interval.

  8. Calibration Intercept of the Multimodal Model

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Calibration-in-the-large of the prespecified multimodal prediction model for unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 4-6) at 90 days, reported as a unitless calibration intercept. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration.

  9. Calibration Slope of the Multimodal Model

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Calibration of the prespecified multimodal prediction model for unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 4-6) at 90 days, reported as a unitless calibration slope. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration.

  10. Brier Score of the Multimodal Model

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Overall prediction error of the prespecified multimodal prediction model for unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 4-6) at 90 days, reported as a unitless Brier score ranging from 0 to 1. Lower values indicate better overall predictive accuracy.

  11. Decision-Curve Net Benefit of the Multimodal Model

    Time frame: 90 days after intracerebral hemorrhage onset

    Clinical utility of the prespecified multimodal prediction model for unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 4-6) at 90 days, assessed by decision-curve analysis and reported as unitless net benefit across prespecified probability thresholds. Net benefit will be compared with treat-all and treat-none strategies.

Study contacts

Contact information is provided by the study sponsor or research team.

Le Zhang, Professor, MD

CONTACT

[email protected]

+86 178 7316 7010

Sponsors and collaborators

Lead sponsor

Xiangya Hospital of Central South University

Other

Registry information

Official study title

Chinese Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study of Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Acronym: CMCS-ICH

Important dates

Study start
2024
Primary completion
2029
Study completion
2039
First posted
Sep 22, 2026
Registry last updated
Sep 22, 2026

OpenTrials presents study information sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov. The official registry record should be consulted for the latest information.

View the official ClinicalTrials.gov record (opens in a new tab)

This listing is for discovery and informational purposes only. It is not medical advice, does not guarantee that a study is recruiting, and does not determine eligibility. Contact the study team and a qualified healthcare professional when considering participation.

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